Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-26 311.598578 353.882689 401.234874 458.463715 526.115052 603.980546 701.020253
2025-02-02 260.626765 318.682969 390.019193 485.300063 611.033530 773.873870 1005.079031
2025-02-09 224.656509 287.573659 369.534810 486.354912 652.333514 885.701872 1249.963182
2025-02-16 194.964586 258.297203 344.540809 473.817198 668.593200 961.427948 1456.475375
2025-02-23 173.317804 236.254645 325.195645 464.352659 684.958292 1036.929034 1676.865594
2025-03-02 161.672180 226.447504 321.305494 476.059829 734.113358 1171.420919 2029.208933
2025-03-09 149.168112 213.722443 311.129265 475.811482 762.721616 1275.561457 2353.279579
2025-03-16 136.468176 199.259972 296.419181 465.739020 772.089751 1345.913648 2628.835568
2025-03-23 127.882611 190.249404 289.193816 466.962961 801.230275 1458.456502 3027.595714
2025-03-30 118.258728 178.662335 276.495481 456.806842 807.091730 1525.143678 3341.443174
2025-04-06 111.248259 170.681561 268.966895 454.860819 828.287073 1627.785193 3778.386236
2025-04-13 101.699167 157.731765 251.765052 432.924590 805.710402 1629.522599 3949.120546
2025-04-20 99.359049 156.908357 255.889424 452.603308 874.377754 1859.020620 4865.255324
2025-04-27 98.013985 157.682831 262.950746 479.076841 963.140208 2162.387912 6170.274972
2025-05-04 93.312629 152.139305 257.848892 480.109050 994.275692 2326.540669 7102.862614
2025-05-11 87.368268 143.919783 246.995549 467.769758 991.651863 2398.506191 7739.480715
2025-05-18 82.329781 136.994362 238.033837 458.453728 994.954702 2488.770902 8505.411398
2025-05-25 80.095650 135.064831 238.569997 469.977040 1052.891859 2758.486403 10223.887558
2025-06-01 76.747305 130.804566 234.119694 469.732604 1080.141582 2941.328830 11687.247106
2025-06-08 72.669455 124.892380 225.876648 459.818376 1079.628752 3033.493039 12770.195860
2025-06-15 69.998050 121.508771 222.525286 461.023132 1110.391894 3243.352139 14691.170103
2025-06-22 66.463814 116.231077 214.853442 451.025856 1107.439033 3332.306913 15986.355923
2025-06-29 63.909753 112.730277 210.661454 449.110176 1128.160521 3517.752394 18107.033957